Game Preview: NYCFC v. Red Bulls (8/22)

By Nick Fiorino (@stretch_fio)

On Wednesday, August 22nd a shorthanded NYCFC side will return home to the Bronx for their most important game of the season thus far, the final regular season installment of the Hudson River Derby. With City four points behind Atlanta and a lone point behind our cross-river rivals, nothing short of all three points are necessary to remain in the elite company of MLS.

Lineup Prediction

Lineup 8-22.png

NYCFC’s injury report headed into the Derby is full. Alexander Callens and Jesus Medina will miss the match due to injuries sustained on Saturday night. Valentin ‘Taty’ Castellanos has been dealing with a quad injury and will not be available for selection, alongside Ronald Matarrita, who picked up a red card on Saturday. City’s depth will be tested, and hopefully the youngsters can make the 18.

With this in mind, I expect Jo Inge Berget, David Villa, and Ismael Tajouri-Shradi to start in the front three. David Villa will almost certainly be on a minutes restriction post-injury, but I expect him to make an serious impact on the match, even if only for 45-60 minutes. The midfield should remain intact, while the back four is practically set with Ben Sweat, Sebastien Ibeagha, Maxime Chanot, and Anton Tinnerholm. The bench should finally feature Jonathan Lewis, who has not made the eighteen in two consecutive matches.

Recent Form

NYCFC: WLDWL

Although City are 2-1-2 in their last five, they have arguably been outclassed in four of those matches, with the fifth being an unsatisfying draw at home. Luckily for City, a win would certainly raise the spirits of the boys heading into the final eight matches of the regular season.

Red Bulls: WLWWD

The Red Bulls have been in good form for most of, if not the entirety of the season so far. Coming off a 2-2 away draw in Vancouver on Saturday, Chris Armas’ side will look to widen the gap between second and third place in the East on Wednesday night.

Standings

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Player Spotlight

NYCFC: Maxi Moralez

The play of Maxi Moralez this season cannot be focused upon enough. His work on both ends of the pitch has been immense. First in Major League Soccer with 80 key passes, Maxi’s eight goals and twelve assists have made him team MVP thus far. His build-up play has been essential, as he is ranked third in the league in total passes in the middle and attacking thirds of the pitch. Setting the tempo of the match is Maxi’s forte, as he has suffered the third most fouls in the league as well. ‘El Frasquito’ has proven essential to City’s success in a season plagued by attacking injuries.

Red Bulls: Bradley-Wright Phillips

Who else could it be? The Red Bull attacker has had another season in elite goal scoring form, and will look to add on another at Yankee Stadium. Tied for second in MLS in goals with 15, Wright-Phillips has also tacked on 7 assists. Most dangerously for NYCFC, American Soccer Analysis has given BWP a 0.30 ‘solo’ rating, which is second in the league for double-digit goalscorers behind Ismael Tajouri-Shradi. Simply, the stat is a percentage of shots taken that were unassisted. Wright-Phillips capitalizes on defensive mistakes, and is clinical in crunch time situations. Without Alexander Callens in defense for the first time in two seasons as a steady passing target in the back, NYCFC must be perfect in build-up to have a chance on Wednesday night.

Player Stats

New York City FC:

Goals: Ismael Tajouri-Shradi (10), David Villa (9), Maxi Moralez (8)

Assists: Maxi Moralez (12), Jesus Medina (7), David Villa and Anton Tinnerholm (4)

Home Goals: David Villa and Maxi Moralez (5)

Red Bull:s

Goals: Bradley Wright-Phillips (15), Daniel Royer (10), Three Players (3)

Assists: Kaku (14), Sean Davis (8), Bradley Wright-Phillips (7)

Away Goals: Bradley Wright-Phillips and Daniel Royer (5)

 

Follow Nick Fiorino on Twitter at @stretch_fio and The Third Rail at @ThirdRailSC. Interested in learning more about the Third Rail? Visit our website at thirdrail.nyc for merchandise, weekly game previews and more. Interested in joining? Click here.

Watch NYCFC v Red Bull on Fox Sports 1 and FoxSportsGo at 7:00 ET or Listen on WNYE 91.5 FM

 

Game Preview: NYCFC v. Philadelphia (8/18)

By Nick Fiorino (stretch_fio)

On Saturday, August 18th, NYCFC travel to Philadelphia to face the fifth place Union. With the Red Bulls coming to the Bronx on Wednesday and the final stretch of the season in sight, three points are necessary to keep pace in the Eastern Conference and the Supporters’ Shield race.

Lineup Prediction

Lineup 8-18.png

NYCFC’s injury woes continue, with newcomer Valentin “Taty” Castellanos out with a quad injury on Saturday. On the bright side, Sean Johnson is likely to return in goal after missing the last two matches. With the last regular season Hudson River Derby match of 2018 on deck at Yankee Stadium, the boys in blue will look to impress and fight for a place in the team on Wednesday. I believe that Jesus Medina, David Villa, and Ismael Tajouri-Shradi will start up front, but Domè may give Rodney Wallace, Jo Inge Berget, or Jonathan Lewis, who did not even make the 18 last week, the spot start. I expect the midfield to remain unchanged. Ben Sweat should get the nod after a rather pedestrian performance from Ronald Matarrita last weekend. Lastly, Sebastien Ibeagha has started the last two away from home for City, and I believe that he starts again in Philly.

Recent Form

NYCFC: WWLDW

Following a disappointing draw at home to a rather weak Vancouver side, NYCFC responded in Toronto with all three points against the reigning MLS Cup Champions.

Philadelphia: WLWLW

Although the Union’s season has had it ups and downs, they lie in fifth place in the Standings. Winning three of their last five games, all on the road, the Union look to be heading in the right direction at the tail end of the season.

Previous Meeting

On June 2nd of last year, NYCFC defeated the Philadelphia Union by a score of 2-1. The first half was full of City chances, with Andre Blake making tremendous saves throughout the 45’. The score remained 0-0 until Fafa Picault scored for the Union off the counter, giving Philadelphia a 1-0 lead. Many will remember this match for the unlikely NYCFC goal scorers late in the match, with Maxime Chanot scoring a rare header from a corner for City in the 80’. Then in the 84’, Alexander Callens scored after a scramble in front of net, giving NYCFC the 2-1 lead, which they held onto.

All-time Series: 4-2-1

Standings

8-18 Eastern Conference Standings.png

Player Spotlight

NYCFC: Ismael Tajouri-Shradi

Quite possibly the Newcomer of the Year, Ismael Tajouri-Shradi has been nothing short of incredible for City this season. NYCFC’s one constant critique since day one has focused on a secondary goalscorer to David Villa, and Tajouri-Shradi has certainly accomplished this. His goal scoring efficiency is unrivaled in MLS, showcased by his 10 goals on only 15 shots on target. He also ranks first in the league in goals minus expected goals. Tajouri-Shradi is not only a key to this match, or the rest of this season, but to the future of NYCFC’s attack.

Philadelphia: CJ Sapong

CJ Sapong is having an interesting season to say the least. A proven goalscorer at the MLS level, his three goals and one assist in 22 games played are shocking statistics. Sapong has the lowest goals minus expected goals in MLS, which usually means that a player is due a goal sooner rather than later. Sapong’s eleven expected goals plus assists places him in elite company, and Saturday may be the day that Sapong breaks out in 2018.

Player Stats

NYCFC:

Goals: Ismael Tajouri-Shradi (10), David Villa (9), Maxi Moralez (8)

Assists: Maxi Moralez (12), Jesus Medina (7), David Villa and Anton Tinnerholm (4)

Away Goals: Ismael Tajouri-Shradi (6)

Philadelphia: 

Goals: Borek Dockal, Fafa Picault, and Corey Burke (5)

Assists: Borek Dockal (10), Alejandro Bedoya (4), Fafa Picault (3)

Home Goals: Borek Dockal (5)

 

Follow Nick Fiorino on Twitter at @stretch_fio and The Third Rail at @ThirdRailSC. Interested in learning more about the Third Rail? Visit our website at thirdrail.nyc for merchandise, weekly game previews and more. Interested in joining? Click here.

Watch NYCFC v Philadelphia on YES Network at 7:00 ET or Listen on WNYE 91.5 FM

Game Preview: NYCFC v. Vancouver (8/4)

By Nick Fiorino (@stretch_fio)

Before the Game Preview, Congratulations are in order for Adrian Conoboy, the MLS Works Community MVP for 2018! Adrian has done incredible work and is an amazing representative of the club. You can find his nonprofit charity We Can Kick It on Twitter, and on behalf of the Third Rail, we thank Adrian for his unbelievable effort not only this All-Star week, but for years to come as well.

Now onto the match…

On Saturday, August 4th NYCFC returns home to face the Vancouver Whitecaps. As every fan must know, City’s undefeated season at Yankee Stadium thus far (10-0-1) will be on the line. The boys in blue will look to bounce back after a tough loss in Seattle last week, but luckily, NYCFC have not lost back-to-back matches in the last two full seasons.

Lineup Predictions

Lineup 8-4.png

With David Villa suspended due to his All-Star absence, the NYCFC attack will again be forced to adapt. I believe the best course of action is for Jo Inge Berget to start up front with Ismael Tajouri-Shradi and Jesus Medina alongside him on the wings. Do not be surprised for Rodney Wallace or Ronald Matarrita to grab the start, and also expect to see newcomer Valentin Castellanos off the bench for his NYCFC debut. Although playing for most of the first half on Wednesday night in Atlanta, Alexander Ring is expected to start and play like his usual self next to his midfield partner Ebenezer Ofori. Maxime Chanot should reclaim his starting spot in the backline, and July’s NYCFC Player of the Month Anton Tinnerholm will look to attack and net his fifth of the season from right back. Lastly, the Injury Report released Friday informed the fans of Sean Johnson’s training injury sustained during the week, and from Domè’s comments, I believe that Brad Stuver will get the start between the posts.

Recent Form

NYCFC: WWWWL

Following their four game home stand that resulted in four victories, City split last week’s road trip, defeating Orlando yet falling to the Sounders.

Vancouver: LWLLW

Although losing four of their last seven games, the Whitecaps are coming off their most high-profile win of the season against the surging Minnesota United. Their away form has been quite poor on the season, however, losing their last three away from home by an aggregate score line of 9-1.

Previous Meeting

On July 5th of last year, NYCFC traveled to BC Place in Vancouver and lost 3-2. An early giveaway by City’s defense led to a Fredy Montero goal in the second minute. The game calmed until the 33’, where the patented NYCFC corner technique led to a scramble in front of goal, which was finally put away by Maxime Chanot, tying the match at one. Tommy McNamara won a penalty five minutes later, which David Villa buried, giving City a 2-1 lead into halftime. The second half was filled with Vancouver Whitecaps chances, with left back Jordan Harvey volleying an equalizer from a well worked cross. The game was all but over until Yordy Reyna scored the winner in the 88’ on a free header in front of goal. After leading 2-1, City left Vancouver without any points.

All-time Series: 2-1-0

Standings

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A win on Saturday would place NYCFC one point behind league leaders Atlanta United in not only the Eastern Conference Standings, but the Supporters’ Shield race as well. NYCFC’s 1.95 average points per game ranks second in MLS, alongside the Red Bulls.

Player Spotlight

NYCFC: Maxi Moralez

At the All-Star break, NYCFC’s MVP has surely been Maxi Moralez. El Frasquito has had a breakout season thus far, tied for second in the league with his 11 assists. Moralez has also been the catalyst for City’s home form on the season, with his 8 home assists only one behind the league lead. Maxi plays all over the pitch, assisting in build up, speeding up the tempo in the attack, while also slowing down play with his 54 fouls suffered, fifth in MLS. Looking at advanced statistics, Moralez stacks up alongside elite company in 2018, ranking sixth in expected goals plus assists with just over 13. With David Villa injured for much of this season, Maxi has stepped up and has been more than City fans could have hoped.

Vancouver: Alphonso Davies

Rather obviously, Vancouver’s player spotlight will be 17 year old sensation Alphonso Davies. Recently sold to German super club Bayern Munich for an MLS record $13.5 Million with bonuses that total $22 Million, Davies lives up to the hype. Last week, the Whitecaps defeated Minnesota United, with Davies tallying two goals and two assists. The wonderkid is a sight to see, and the bright lights at Yankee Stadium may bring out the best of the budding superstar.

Player Stats

NYCFC

Goals: David Villa (8), Ismael Tajouri-Shradi (8), Maxi Moralez (8)

Assists: Maxi Moralez (11), Jesus Medina (7), David Villa (4)

Home Goals: Maxi Moralez and David Villa (5)

Vancouver

Goals: Kei Kamara (9), Cristian Techera (6), Alphonso Davies (5)

Assists: Alphonso Davies (10), Felipe (6), Yordy Reyna (5)

Away Goals: Kei Kamara and Brek Shea (3)

 

 

Follow Nick Fiorino on Twitter at @stretch_fio and The Third Rail at @ThirdRailSC. Interested in learning more about the Third Rail? Visit our website at thirdrail.nyc for merchandise, weekly game previews and more. Interested in joining? Click here.

Watch NYCFC v Vancouver on YES Network at 8:00 ET or Listen on WNYE 91.5 FM

 

Game Preview: NYCFC v. Seattle (7/29)

By Nick Fiorino (stretch_fio)

On Sunday, July 28th NYCFC travel cross-country to face the Seattle Sounders.  After earning the victory Thursday night in Orlando, City will look to earn six of a possible six points on their two game road trip and finally improve upon their rather pedestrian away form on the season. Although beating the Lions rather easily, Domè was not happy with the performance. Without David Villa due to injury and Alexander Ring due to yellow card accumulation, City’s depth will be tested against a Sounders squad that is undefeated in their last five matches.

Lineup Prediction

Lineup 7-29.png

Although David Villa has not made the trip to Seattle, the rest of the attack seems to be at full strength after substitute appearances from Jo Inge Berget and Ismael Tajouri-Shradi. I believe that both will start on Sunday, alongside Ronald Matarrita and Maxi Moralez in the attack, sending Rodney Wallace to the bench. With Ring out of the lineup, Domè implied that Kwame Awuah would get the start, and I believe that he should as well, alongside Ebenezer Ofori following his most impressive match for the club thus far. Lastly, I believe that Sebastien Ibeagha will get a spot start, but do not be surprised to see the backline unchanged after four straight clean sheets.

Recent Form

NYCFC: LWWWW

In the midst of their longest win streak of the season, NYCFC seem to be hitting their peak form. Missing some key starters, City have been leaning on Maxi Moralez in the attack, Alexander Callens and Sean Johnson in the back, and super-sub Jonathan Lewis, and all will be essential to keep the streak alive on Sunday.

Seattle: WDDWW

Although still tenth in the Western Conference, the Sounders are certainly trending in the right direction. Currently unbeaten in five with three wins and conceding only two goals along the way, the Sounders finally have a winning formula. With new Designated Player Raul Ruidiaz set to make his second start, and Roman Torres set to return to the defense, Seattle believe they can earn the three points at CenturyLink regardless of their opponent.

Previous Meeting

On June 17th of last season, City hosted the Sounders in a match many will remember as the “rain game”. The first half was characterized by sloppy build up play and an almost unplayable surface due to the weather. Cristian Roldan opened the scoring in the 40’, stunning City supporters. Just before half, David Villa smashed the crossbar on what would have been a goal of the season, but NYCFC went to the break trailing 1-0. David Villa won and buried a penalty five minutes into the second half, and City never looked back. With only fifteen minutes left, Jack Harrison sent in a great cross, which David Villa scored first-time on a beautiful finish, ending the match 2-1 in the favor of the boys in blue.

All-time Series: 2-1-0

Standings

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Player Spotlight

NYCFC: Ebenezer Ofori

Since his move from Stuttgart, Ebenezer Ofori has steadily improved for NYCFC. On Thursday, Ofori dominated the Orlando midfield and was great on both sides of the ball. Without Alexander Ring on Sunday, Ofori may be asked to take command of Ring’s all-important defensive midfield duties, an incredibly difficult task. Ofori’s performance will be essential if City are to earn all three points.

Seattle: Raul Ruidiaz

With no player with more than five goals scored, yet twelve different goal scorers on the season, Seattle has gone with a team attacking approach. Designated Player Raul Ruidiaz hopes to change that in his second start for the club on Sunday. The “Peruvian Messi” is a proven scorer, putting in great performances for the national team, Primera Division in Chile, and Liga MX. Scoring in his first match for Seattle on Wednesday, Ruidiaz was dangerous all night, and he is certainly the focus for NYCFC on Sunday.

Player Stats

NYCFC: 

Goals: David Villa (8), Ismael Tajouri-Shradi (8), Maxi Moralez (8)

Assists: Maxi Moralez (11), Jesus Medina (7), David Villa (4)

Away Goals: Ismael Tajouri-Shradi (4)

Seattle:

Goals: Will Bruin (5), Nicolas Lodeiro (4), 10 Players (1)

Assists: Nicolas Lodeiro (5), Cristian Roldan (5), Will Bruin (4)

Home Goals: Nicolas Lodeiro (3)

New Signings

NYCFC have made two new signings in the last five days, both who are sure to see time on the pitch down the key final stretch of the season. First on July 25th, NYCFC announced the transfer of 33 year-old Spanish midfielder Eloi Amagat. Familiar with him from his time at Girona FC in Spain, Domè has spoken highly of Amagat. Although a likely replacement for Yangel Herrera, the players could not be more different. Amagat will fight for playing time with Ebenezer Ofori and likely be a creative attacking presence to the usual defensive two that City have employed this season.

Secondly on July 27th, NYCFC announced the loan of Valentin Castellanos, a 19 year-old Argentinian from City Football Group owned Torque in Uruguay’s Primera Division. Winning Young Player of the Month for the league in June, Castellanos is a right-footed winger who prefers to play on the left. Adding Castellanos into the young core attack alongside Jesus Medina and Jonathan Lewis, City’s depth is now rivaled by its youth as well. Expect Castellanos to be initially used as Lewis is used; a super-sub with serious pace and one vs one ability.

 

Follow Nick Fiorino on Twitter at @stretch_fio and The Third Rail at @ThirdRailSC. Interested in learning more about the Third Rail? Visit our website at thirdrail.nyc for merchandise, weekly game previews and more. Interested in joining? Click here.

Watch NYCFC v Seattle on ESPN at 5:00 ET or Listen on WNYE 91.5 FM

Game Preview: NYCFC vs. Orlando

By Nick Fiorino (stretch_fio)

On Thursday, July 26th, NYCFC will travel to Orlando to face a club that they have already beaten twice on the year by an aggregate score line of 5-0. After twelve days off, NYCFC will face Orlando City, then onto Seattle on the weekend for a Sunday afternoon contest with the Sounders.

Lineup Prediction

With the trio of David Villa, Ismael Tajouri-Shradi, and Jo Inge Berget finally back at training and listed as Questionable on the injury report, it is up to Domè to decide how to ease the three attackers back into the team. I believe that the best course of action is to give Villa and Tajouri-Shradi the start on Thursday, and allow Berget to play up front against a physical Seattle team on Saturday. Jesus Medina’s recent performances warrant another start, and we will almost certainly see Jonathan Lewis off the bench. The midfield three should stay intact and the backline of Sweat, Chanot, Callens, and Tinnerholm should remain as well. Do not be surprised for Rodney Wallace to grab minutes up front, or Ronald Matarrita and Sebastien Ibeagha to start in the back.

Recent Form

NYCFC: WLWWW

Although entering the game on a three match win streak, NYCFC will look to change their away form on the year under Domè. City are 2-4-3 away from the Bronx this season, which is undoubtedly disappointing. Facing back-to-back away games in a span of four days however, the boys in blue will look to turn the tides.

Orlando: LLLWL

Losers of ten of their last eleven games, Orlando have been in horrific form. Coming off a heartbreaking added time long-shot from Wil Trapp to lose 3-2 to the Crew, Orlando are desperate to find points and get themselves back in the playoff race.

Previous Meeting

In NYCFC’s second meeting with Orlando this season, City began just as they did in the first match, with an opening goal. The boys took an early lead off a curled Ismael Tajouri-Shradi shot from inside the 18. The second half started poorly for NYCFC with Alexander Callens bringing down Sacha Kljestan in the box for a penalty. Luckily, Kljestan missed off the post. In the 78’, Tajouri-Shradi scored his second, fooling Joe Bendik on a free kick whipped with power into the area. This match was one where Jonathan Lewis made his presence known for one of the first times this season, beginning a chaotic sequence in front of net that included two shots off the crossbar. The play was finally put away by Maxi Moralez, finishing off the game 3-0.

All-time Series: 4-5-2

Standings

Only 4 points behind Atlanta United in the Supporters’ Shield race with two games in hand, every match, regardless of opponent, is of the utmost importance to City. On the other side, Orlando sit six points out of a playoff position, and hold the worst goal difference in Major League Soccer with a minus 16.

Player Spotlight

NYCFC: Jonathan Lewis

NYCFC is coming off quite possibly the most successful week in the history of the club, and most fans will point to Jonathan Lewis as the reason why. The 21 year old winger has taken the opportunity given to him by Domè, and has disappointed no one. Lewis began the week with the game winning assist in the Derby, followed by a headed goal against Montreal, and topped it off with a composed assist against the Crew. He leads Major League Soccer in expected goals plus assists per 96 minutes from players with 100+ minutes, and makes his mark whenever he steps foot on the pitch. While fans will call for him to start, Lewis has thrived in the “super-sub” role, and his speed against tired legs of defenders late in games is irreplaceable. If his red-hot form continues, the sky's the limit.

Orlando: Sacha Kljestan

Familiar to City fans from his time in New Jersey, Sacha Kljestan has been one of the only bright spots for the Lions this season. The attacking midfielder ranks sixth in MLS in key passes, and is coming off arguably his best match of the season, tallying a goal and an assist in only sixty minutes. No player is more important to the success of Orlando City than Sacha Kljestan.

Player Stats

NYCFC

Goals: David Villa (8), Ismael Tajouri-Shradi (8), Maxi Moralez (7)

Assists: Maxi Moralez (10), Jesus Medina (7), David Villa (4)

Away Goals: Ismael Tajouri-Shradi (4)

Orlando

Goals: Dom Dwyer (8), Sacha Kljestan (5), 3 Players (3)

Assists: Yoshi Yotun (6), Sacha Kljestan (5), Chris Mueller (5)

Home Goals: Dom Dwyer (6)

 

 

Follow Nick Fiorino on Twitter at @stretch_fio and The Third Rail at @ThirdRailSC. Interested in learning more about the Third Rail? Visit our website at thirdrail.nyc for merchandise, weekly game previews and more. Interested in joining? Click here.

Watch NYCFC v Orlando on ESPN at 8:00 ET or Listen on WNYE 91.5 FM

Game Preview: NYCFC v. Columbus (7/14)

By Nick Fiorino (@stretch_fio)

On Saturday, NYCFC will look to win their third match of the week in the Bronx against the Columbus Crew. A victory would place the boys in blue tied atop the Eastern Conference and level on points with Atlanta United in the chase for the Supporters’ Shield heading into a twelve-day break.

Lineup Prediction

Lineup 7-14.png

Although three key players for NYCFC are listed as questionable on Saturday, I believe it is best to rest Jo Inge Berget, David Villa, and Ismael Tajouri-Shradi, especially with a twelve day break on the horizon. That leaves Jesus Medina, Rodney Wallace, and Ronald Matarrita to man the attack alongside Maxi Moralez. The front four will likely be fluid throughout the match, with each dropping into the midfield at times to facilitate possession. Matarrita deserves the start after making a positive impact off the bench in each of the last two matches, highlighted by his goal on Wednesday night. Maxime Chanot should reclaim his starting spot in the back alongside Alexander Callens. The full-backs should remain the same, as well as the midfield defensive two. Do not be surprised, however, to see Tommy McNamara grab his second start of the week in the attack or the midfield.

Recent Form

NYCFC: DWLWW

NYCFC’s red hot form continues, winning four of the last six matches and staying undefeated at home. City’s nine home victories are an MLS best, with no other club tallying more than six.

Columbus: DLLWL

The Crew have won just one of their last seven matches, and are coming off a 4-0 defeat against the LA Galaxy. Still fourth in the Eastern Conference, however, the Crew could jump into the top three with a win on Saturday night.

Previous Meeting

The last meeting between these two clubs is tough for City fans to forget, as it was the second leg of last season’s playoff disappointment. Headed into the home leg trailing 4-1, NYCFC had a huge hill to climb, and almost did. Rodney Wallace won a penalty in the 14’, which David Villa converted. An Andraz Struna shot in the 52’ was deflected and hit the back of the net, creating a 4-3 aggregate scoreline. The rest of the match was defined by City misses, Zack Steffen saves, and both posts, as NYCFC was again eliminated in the first round.

Head to Head Record: 3-3-3

Standings

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Player Spotlight

NYCFC: Maxi Moralez

The unsung hero of the first half of the season, Maxi Moralez has played in all but 14 minutes this season for City. His ten assists are tied for most in the league, and his seven goals are only one behind the team lead. Even more impressively, Moralez ranks sixth in MLS in expected goals plus assists, placing him in elite company. While NYCFC’s stars have been injured, El Frasquito has shouldered the load for City, and is arguably the team’s MVP through the first half of the 2018 campaign.

Columbus: Gyasi Zardes

Many may not realize it, but USMNT Forward Gyasi Zardes has revitalized his club career in Columbus. Tied for second in goals scored and alone in second place in expected goals in the league, Zardes is the key to the Crew’s attack. His eleven goals are the second most he has scored in any MLS season. On top of those accolades, Zardes has played the second most minutes in MLS this season, showcasing a durability that few goal scorers possess. Columbus’ recent acquisition of Patrick Mullins will only take some pressure off Zardes, who is the new centerpiece of the Crew attack.

Player Stats

NYCFC

Goals: David Villa (8), Ismael Tajouri-Shradi (8), Maxi Moralez (7)

Assists: Maxi Moralez (10), Jesus Medina (7), David Villa (4)

Home Goals: David Villa (5), Maxi Moralez (5)

Columbus

Goals: Gyasi Zardes (11), Federico Higuain (4),7 Players (1)

Assists: Federico Higuain (7), Pedro Santos (4), 4 Players (2)

Away Goals: Federico Higuain and Gyasi Zardes (1)

 

Follow Nick Fiorino on Twitter at @stretch_fio and The Third Rail at @ThirdRailSC. Interested in learning more about the Third Rail? Visit our website at thirdrail.nyc for merchandise, weekly game previews and more. Interested in joining? Click here.

Watch NYCFC v Columbus on YES Network at 7:00  ET or Listen on WNYE 91.5 FM

Game Preview: NYCFC v. Montreal (7/11)

By Nick Fiorino (@stretch_fio)

On the tail end of the Hudson River Derby, City’s most impressive win of the season and a tactical masterpiece by Domè, NYCFC will look to continue their incredible home form (8-0-1) against the red hot Montreal Impact. The quick turnaround will certainly be difficult, while also looking ahead to Saturday’s match against Columbus in only three days as well.

Lineup Prediction

Lineup 7-11.png

With three games in a seven day span and injuries to several key starters, City’s lineup will be difficult to predict. After a solid thirty minutes off the bench on Sunday, I believe that Ronald Matarrita will get the start, giving Ben Sweat rest. Fresh off an injury of his own, Maxime Chanot should get the night off after earning MLS team of the week honors, allowing Sebastien Ibeagha to reclaim his starting spot, if only just for a game. NYCFC Player of the Month Anton Tinnerholm should remain in the lineup, but do not be surprised for Saad Abdul-Salaam to get the nod. Jonathan Lewis deserves the start, and should get it with Ismael Tajouri-Shradi’s injury on Sunday. Lastly, I believe that Tommy McNamara will get a game under his belt after a solid Derby performance by Ebenezer Ofori.

Recent Form

NYCFC: WDWLW

As we have been saying all season, City’s form depends heavily on where a match is played. Winless in their last six road matches, Domè needs to bring a consistency to the team regardless of venue. Luckily, City’s next two matches are in the Bronx, and all three points seem necessary to keep pace with Atlanta United.

Montreal: LWWWW

After a poor run of form to begin of the season, the Impact are one of the hottest teams in the league since June. Winners of four in a row and five out of six, including four clean sheets, Montreal come to the Bronx will loads of confidence.

Previous Meeting

Last September, NYCFC traveled across the border to grab all three points against the Montreal Impact, winning 1-0. City was all over Montreal for most of the night, with Jack Harrison scoring an outside of the foot wonder-goal from a one-two with Rodney Wallace. NYCFC were unlucky to score only once, with Wallace missing golden chances and David Villa hitting the crossbar late.

Standings

7-11 East Standings.png

Six points behind Atlanta United with two games in hand, NYCFC have two must-win games this week to keep pace. The Impact are currently holding the final playoff position by one point, and are the only team in MLS yet to draw a match this season.

Player Spotlight

NYCFC: Jonathan Lewis

NYCFC fans know how great Jonathan Lewis has been this season, and hopefully Domè now knows as well. Even with the riches of depth that City hold on the wing, Lewis should be playing week in, week out. When Lewis sees the pitch, NYCFC simply have a more dynamic attack. His pace and ability to beat defenders one-on-one is unrivaled by any other player on this roster. Jonathan Lewis is the future of the City attack, and deserves ninety minutes to further prove so in the Bronx on Wednesday night.

Montreal: Ignacio Piatti

Ignacio Piatti is one of the most dangerous players in MLS, and he will look to showcase why on Wednesday. His efficiency on goal is incredible, scoring nine times on only fifteen shots on target. He is one of only ten players this season with over 10 expected goals plus assists, and is in the top three in key passes for forwards. Piatti has scored four times during Montreal’s four game winning streak, and is as important to the Impact as any player is to any team in the league.

Player Stats

NYCFC

Goals: David Villa (8), Ismael Tajouri-Shradi (8), Maxi Moralez (7)

Assists: Maxi Moralez (8), Jesus Medina (6), , David Villa (4)

Home Goals: David Villa (5), Maxi Moralez (5)

Montreal

Goals: Ignacio Piatti (9), Jeisson Vargas (4), Saphir Taider (3)

Assists: Ignacio Piatti (7), Alejandro Silva (5), 3 Players (3)

Away Goals: Ignacio Piatti (2)

 

Follow Nick Fiorino on Twitter at @stretch_fio and The Third Rail at @ThirdRailSC. Interested in learning more about the Third Rail? Visit our website at thirdrail.nyc for merchandise, weekly game previews and more. Interested in joining? Click here.

Watch NYCFC v Montreal on the Fox Sports Go app at 7:00  ET or Listen on WNYE 91.5 FM

Game Preview: NYCFC v. Red Bulls (7/8)

By Nick Fiorino (@stretch_fio)

Featuring:  @nycfctactics

On Sunday, NYCFC embark on a seven day, three game homestand beginning with the Bronx Edition of the 2018 Hudson River Derby. With David Villa unlikely to suit up due to injury, City’s supporting cast with face their biggest test of the season. Luckily, the boys in blue have been the best team in MLS at home this season, going undefeated (7-0-1) and conceding only 4 goals in 8 games, creating a +17 goal differential in the process. The pressure will be on for Domènec Torrent’s first New York Derby, as tactical changes must be made to beat the Red Bull press. NYCFC have responded to the pressure by making incredibly impressive hires to Torrent’s coaching staff, adding four former Barcelona assistants and trainers. With news also coming Friday that Red Bull Manager Jesse Marsch has departed the Red Bulls for Europe, the pressure will be on interim manager Chris Armas as well. We’re going to learn a lot about Domè, our club, and the rest of our season’s prospects this weekend in City’s most important match thus far.

Recent Form

NYCFC: LWDWL

Last Saturday, NYCFC traveled to Toyota Park in Chicago and blew a 2-1 lead, losing 3-2 to the Fire. Chicago winger Aleksandar Katai torched City for two goals in a five minute span, capitalizing on two mistakes by Ben Sweat. If there was any bright side to the loss, NYCFC have not suffered back-to-back losses in over two seasons, a streak dating back to April of 2016. Although losing both contests to the Red Bulls thus far in 2018, the all-time series at Yankee Stadium is tied 2-2-0.

NYRB: LDWWW

The recent form of our cross river rivals has been undeniably fantastic. They have lost only one of their last ten matches, tallying four clean sheets. Averaging two points per game, the Red Bulls rank first in the Eastern Conference, showcasing their incredibly strong start to the season.

Predicted Lineups - @NYCFCTactics

NYCFC Lineup 7-8 (3).png

NYCFC

NYCFC, under Domé, has been coming out in a 4-3-3 with Ring and Maxi having far more freedom than Ofori. This is putting a lot of trust in Ebenezer as a sole pivot, but with Ring at CM it’ll be easy to drop into a double pivot if the game calls for it. The back four of Sweat - Callens - Ibeagha - Anton seem to have the new gaffer’s trust, but don’t be surprised if Chanot comes in for Ibeagha.

Playing Isi on the left as an inverted winger and Lewis on the right will be great outlets over the top of the Red Bull's press. With Villa out for the foreseeable future, Berget gets a crack at being the man in the middle. Having a true targetman is a card the Blues have rarely played.  

The front four of Maxi - Isi - Berget - Lewis all have the positional flexibility to fill multiple roles. Expect Maxi to look to overload on the wings to encourage underlaps by Isi, Lewis, Sweat, and Anton, while also being an outlet in build up play from the back. Ring, with new positional freedom, will look to alleviate Maxi’s large list of responsibilities.  

NYRB

Even with Jesse Marsch officially leaving the club on Friday, assistant Chris Armas will stick to their tried and true system of 4-2-3-1 with high levels of pressing at every turn. The partnership of Parker and Long has solidified the back. Kemar Lawrence, coming off a great game, will get a go, but if Murillo is back expect Lade to sit.

The American midfield duo of Adams and Davis is amazing at setting a good base for the front three of Valot, Muyl and BWP to take risks pressing. Valot likes to sink into the midfield to playmake and alleviate pressure. Muyl (or Royer) will play opposite as a true winger. Kaku will float centrally and create pressure via passing and pressing of Ofori.

Up top, Wright-Phillips is still the focal point of the attack. Expect him to be a threat aerially running off defender’s back shoulders and beginning the press by dividing the field down the middle between NYCFC’s two centerbacks.

Why Jonathan Lewis?

After looking over NYCFC’s record against NYRB, a pattern emerged around how starting a speedster and dribbler on the wing is a good counter to the Red Bull press.

Since 2015, NYCFC is 3-1-8 in all competitions against the Reds across the river. In all four of the games where points have been earned for City, Jack Harrison started on the right wing. He was a dynamic outlet and singular chance creator that helped relieve seemingly relentless pressure. Domé needs to field a player in that mold for continued success.

That is why starting Jonathan Lewis, a player with similar attributes, will provide the highest return. He will also drive back NYRB’s opposing fullback Kemar Lawrence, potentially neutralizing the dynamic fullback. There currently is not a player on the roster that possesses the pace and the technical ability, Medina being a close second, that can deliver more bang for the buck against a high pressing opponent like the former MetroStars.

Defeating the Press

Building out the back is a principle that Patrick Vieira brought to NYCFC and has become a calling card of the club. So far, Domé hasn’t deviated drastically from this philosophy, which is shared by his role model, Manchester City’s Pep Guardiola. When facing a well executed and coordinated press like the Red Bulls, failure to clear the zone can lead to embarrassing goals against. Domé will hopefully look to offer different outlets for the Hudson River Derby. On goal kicks specifically, NYCFC has the most clear cut challenge against the Redbulls to its historical building out the back philosophy. Here are a couple of ways Domé could tackle this upcoming problem.

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All three solutions face drawbacks as there is no plan that has no risk associated with it. That being said, pragmatism and philosophical stubbornness are tools needed by managers to achieve the desired result. So let’s assess what would be the best course of action for Sunday’s night game.

The English Solution of going Route 1 goes against the philosophy of City Group’s Godking Pep, our former headman Vieira and current manager Domé. That being said, this solution does a good job of utilizing a skill, targetman, of Jo Inge Berget that David Villa does not possess. With Villa out, this is more feasible than ever before, but seems an unlikely choice by Domé.

The Vieira Solution of doing the same action time and time again, playing short and building out the back, when executed well lends itself to high levels of possession and dominance that has made NYCFC a top five club since adopting the philosophy. When this approach goes bad, however, it feels like the world is falling apart. Scorelines end up out of hand and all team momentum is crushed. This pure philosophical tactic seems unlikely from Domé, as he’s seen too much not to be pragmatic.

Lastly, the Hybrid Solution is one that combines both of these approaches. It allows for pragmatism and philosophy to coexist, triggered by reads of Sean Johnson. Just like a Run-Pass Option for a Quarterback in football, these reads are all about seeing where the defense is located and reacting accordingly. With the inclusion of Berget at center forward, the Route 1 approach is far more viable than ever before, but the DNA of the team should not be compromised so easily. The inclusion of an additional speedster in Jonathan Lewis paired with Isi on the wing allows for the ultimate release of a press, a long ball into space towards the opposition’s goal. Just like in basketball, if there is an over aggressive press, sometimes the easiest way to relieve pressure is to lead a man into space. That’s why having Jack Harrison on the field in 2017 was so important to having a positive series record, and why Jonathan Lewis may be the key to NYCFC dominance on Sunday.

Player Spotlight

NYCFC: Maxi Moralez

El Frasquito has been a revelation for NYCFC this season and will be central to City’s gameplan Sunday night. In the last league meeting between the two sides, Red Bull’s Tyler Adams man-marked Moralez for the entirety of the match, causing City trouble all afternoon. Domè will be aware of this, and surely use his tactical judgement to create time and space for Moralez on Sunday. Maxi is second in MLS among qualified players in Key Passes with 53, and is tied for second in the league with 8 assists. Looking at advanced individual statistics, Moralez ranks eighth in the league in expected goals plus assists with 10.41, placing himself in elite company. NYCFC forwards rarely get credit on the defensive end, but Jesus Medina, David Villa, and Maxi Moralez have been fantastic on both sides of the ball for a majority of the season. Maxi ranks in the top fifteen in total tackles and tackles per game among midfielders. For NYCFC to get all three points, Moralez will be key.

NYRB: Luis Robles

The Red Bull keeper has been one of the league’s all-time best, and he isn’t going away anytime soon. Already top ten in MLS history in wins and holding the league record for consecutive games played, Robles has been a thorn in City’s side from the beginning. According to American Soccer Analysis, Robles is sixth in Goals Allowed minus expected, a stat that tracks goals saved from keepers. The Red Bull keeper will certainly be key, as City’s dynamic attack at home always seems to create chances on net. Although missing some time this season, Robles has held clean sheets in back to back games, (193 consecutive minutes) and will look to do the same on Sunday.

Standings

With Atlanta United losing on Wednesday night, an NYCFC win would place them within three points of the Eastern Conference lead, with a game still in hand over Atlanta. A loss would be incredibly costly for City, however, creating a four point buffer between second and third place in the standings.

Player Stats

NYCFC

Goals: David Villa (8), Ismael Tajouri-Shradi (8), Maxi Moralez (6)

Assists: Maxi Moralez (8), Jesus Medina (6), , David Villa (4)

Home Goals: David Villa (5)

NYRB

Goals: Bradley Wright-Phillips (11), Daniel Royer (4), 3 Players (3)

Assists: Alejandro Gamarra (10), Sean Davis (6), Bradley Wright-Phillips (5)

Away Goals: Bradley Wright-Phillips and Daniel Royer (3)

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Follow Nick Fiorino on Twitter at @stretch_fio and The Third Rail at @ThirdRailSC. Interested in learning more about the Third Rail? Visit our website at thirdrail.nyc for merchandise, weekly game previews and more. Interested in joining? Click here.

Watch NYCFC v Red Bulls on FS1 at 7:00  ET or Listen on WNYE 91.5 FM

#NYISBLUE

Game Preview: NYCFC v. Chicago (6/30)

By Nick Fiorino (@stretch_fio)

On Saturday, NYCFC and Domènic Torrent, or Domè as he prefers to be called, travel to Chicago to overcome a winless road streak of 5 games (0-3-2). Luckily, Chicago are a great team to help change the run of poor away form, as City are unbeaten in their last six against the Fire (3-0-3). While Saturday’s match is incredibly important for the Eastern Conference standings, it is also the last chance for Domè to see the boys in action before arguably the most important game of the season next Sunday against our cross-river rivals, the Red Bulls.

Lineup Prediction

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David Villa has been ruled out for Saturday's match, so expect Jo Inge Berget to replace him as the number 9 up front, with Medina slotting in on the left. At halftime of last week’s match, Domè made some tactical adjustments that really turned the tides for City. He stressed that fullbacks Ben Sweat and Anton Tinnerholm stay central upon losing possession, allowing Alexander Ring to free roam at the head of the midfield. In the attack, Tinnerholm bombed forward as usual, forcing wingers Medina and Tajouri-Shradi to stay wide, forcing Toronto defenders to make decisions in space. The fluidity of the front four helped take pressure off the midfield, leading to a dominant second half. 

Recent Form

NYCFC: WLWDW

City’s home and away form are drastically different; Domè looks to finally bring about a consistency that can change that. Coming off three impressive home performances against solid Eastern conference competition, however, a road win would be the perfect result before the Bronx edition of this years’ Hudson River Derby next Sunday night.

Chicago Fire: LWDDD

Drawing their last three matches and only one point out from a playoff position, Chicago need results soon. The Fire know that NYCFC are a different team away from home with a losing record of 2-3-3, so Saturday is as good a chance as any to pick up the three points at Toyota Park.

Previous Meeting

Last September, NYCFC traveled to Toyota Park in Chicago and drew 1-1. In the 19’, Maxi Moralez was caught looking for a pass in the back, practically handing Nemanja Nikolic and the Chicago Fire the first goal of the match. Moralez made up for his mistake in the 42’, sending David Villa through on a beautifully weighted chip, cutting open the Chicago defense. Villa calmly rounded the keeper and finished, tying the match at one into halftime. NYCFC clearly was the better of the two teams in the second half, leading in possession and chances, but nothing came to fruition, and the match finished 1-1.

Match Recap and Highlights

Standings

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Player Spotlight

NYCFC: Jo Inge Berget

Many supporters have become increasingly critical of Jo Inge Berget’s performances in recent weeks, and he responded in a big way against Toronto. Scoring two goals and completing five key passes, Berget accomplished what only three other players have in a single match in the last two seasons. With a new manager in town, there is not a better time for the Norwegian forward to break out of his shell. After the match, Berget said “It feels better when I score a couple of goals instead of missing chances.” Hopefully, last week’s match was a turning point for Jo Inge, and his run of good form continues. With David Villa potentially missing the match with his groin injury, Berget will certainly have the chance.

Chicago Fire: Aleksandar Katai

Although Nemanja Nikolic has scored five of his six goals this season at Toyota Park, I believe that Aleksandar Katai is the real threat on Saturday. With three goals and one  assist in his last four games, none of which the Fire have lost, Katai is essential to Chicago’s success. The Serbian can line up on the wing, or play centrally, adding to his dynamic style of attack. On loan from Spanish club Deportivo Alavés, Katai is making his mark in MLS.

Player Stats

NYCFC:

Goals: David Villa (8), Ismael Tajouri-Shradi (7), Maxi Moralez (6)

Assists: Maxi Moralez (7), Jesus Medina (6), , David Villa (4)

Away Goals: David Villa (3), Ismael Tajouri-Shradi (3)

Chicago Fire:

Goals: Nemanja Nikolic (6), Aleksandar Katai (6), Alan Gordon (4)

Assists: Bastian Schweinsteiger (5), Brandt Bronico (6), 3 Players (3)

Home Goals: Nemanja Nikolic (5)

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Follow Nick Fiorino on Twitter at @stretch_fio and The Third Rail at @ThirdRailSC. Interested in learning more about the Third Rail? Visit our website at thirdrail.nyc for merchandise, weekly game previews and more. Interested in joining? Click here.

Watch NYCFC v Chicago on YES Network at 8:00  ET or Listen on WNYE 91.5 FM

Game Preview: NYCFC v. Toronto FC

By Nick Fiorino (@stretch_fio)

On Sunday, NYCFC returns to action in the Bronx after the international break and face Eastern Conference foe Toronto FC. Sunday will be City’s first match since Patrick Vieira’s departure to Nice, giving us our first look at new manager Domenec Torrent at the helm. Midseason managerial changes are known to ignite talented sides in world football, and NYCFC will look to do just that in front of its home supporters on Sunday.

Lineup Prediction

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I believe that the departure of Patrick Vieira will be coupled with a departure of Jo Inge Berget from the Starting XI. There is certainly a chance that NYCFC decides to line up in the 3-5-2 that caused serious problems for Atlanta United before the break, but I believe they will revert back to the 4-3-3 of old. With Jo Inge Berget hitting the bench, Jesus Medina should start on the left, allowing him to cause serious problems with his strong left foot. Jonathan Lewis may also start after a great performance against Atlanta, and with a new chance to crack the weekly team sheet. With two weeks to nurse his injury, I also believe that Maxime Chanot will reclaim his starting spot next to defensive partner Alexander Callens.

Recent Form

NYCFC: DWWWD

Unbeaten in their last five league matches and in their last seven at home (6-0-1), NYCFC will look to prove to the fans that they are a team that can overcome coaching adversity and make a run for the Supporters’ Shield and MLS Cup.

Toronto FC: LLDWD

An incredibly disappointing start to the season, which included just two goals scored in their first five matches, has placed Toronto in a position where every point counts. Toronto has begun to turn back to their usual ways in their last three matches however, including a 2-0 win against Philadelphia and a 4-4 draw against DC United.  

Previous Meeting

The last time these clubs met was just under a year ago in Toronto, which ended in a thrashing of NYCFC 4-0. Instead of recapping that contest, I will look to just eleven days prior, where NYCFC and Toronto drew 2-2 in the Bronx. Toronto opened the scoring in the eleventh minute, and Sean Johnson stood on his head for the remainder of the first half, allowing David Villa to score an outside of the foot equalizer from just outside the eighteen yard box just before halftime. Maxi Moralez scored in the 55’ after beautiful service from David Villa, giving NYCFC the 2-1 lead. Heartbreak ensued for your boys in blue, however, when RJ Allen gave away a penalty in extra time, which was slotted away by Victor Vazquez, ending the match 2-2.

Game Highlights and Recap

Standings

Player Spotlight

NYCFC: Alex Ring

Whether lining up as a sweeper in the back, a defensive rock in the midfield, or a box to box, fans have come to expect nothing less than amazing performances week in and week out from Alexander Ring. The Finnish midfielder knows how to deal with a coaching change, after seeing five coaches in a five year span while playing in Germany. His presence on and off the pitch will be instrumental in not only organization for the boys in blue, but motivation as well. Last Week, Ring was excellent, putting together a performance that deserved Man of the Match Honors.

Toronto FC: Sebastian Giovinco

Who else could the spotlight be on? Sebastian Giovinco has scored 7 goals in 5 matches at Yankee Stadium, including a playoff hat-trick in 2016. Although having a down year thus far, Giovinco still ranks fifth in MLS with 10.59 xG+xA this season, sitting just above David Villa. Fourth in the league in shots on target, Seba is a great candidate to raise his goal tally from only three and propel TFC back to the playoffs.

Player Stats

NYCFC:

Goals: David Villa (8), Ismael Tajouri-Shradi (7), Maxi Moralez (6)

Assists: Maxi Moralez (6), Jesus Medina (5), , David Villa (4)

Home Goals: David Villa (5)

Toronto FC:

Goals: Jonathan Osorio (5), Victor Vazquez (4), Sebastian Giovinco (3)

Assists: Sebastian Giovinco (7), Victor Vazquez (6), Jonathan Osorio and Michael Bradley (2)

Away Goals: Sebastian Giovinco (2)

 

Follow Nick Fiorino on Twitter at @stretch_fio and The Third Rail at @ThirdRailSC. Interested in learning more about the Third Rail? Visit our website at thirdrail.nyc for merchandise, weekly game previews and more. Interested in joining? Click here.

Watch NYCFC v Toronto on YES Network at 5:00  ET or Listen on WNYE 91.5 FM